CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-03-07T00:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-03-07T00:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19367/-1
CME Note: This CME is first seen as a faint partial halo to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2 (later in C3) and followed by a more bright and slightly more narrow shape to the W/NW in STEREO A COR2. The source of this CME is an eruption to the E/SE of AR12958 (N17W28) stretching across multiple longitudes from ~W20 to ~W45 based off of the dimming signature seen in SDO/AIA 193. The eruption is best seen in the SDO/AIA 193, 211, 94, 335, and STEREO A EUVI 195 wavelengths. From STEREO A's point of view, the eruption appears as opening field lines along the Eastern limb, while in SDO/AIA's point of view, the eruption is more clear with dimming, a post-eruptive arcade, and a brief EUV wave (seen best in SDO/AIA 211). UPDATE (2022-03-11T14:50Z): Arrival Field indicated by enhancement exceeding 10 nT, accompanied by field component rotation. Preceded by pileup, followed by slight speed increase. Temperature data inconclusive.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2022-03-10T18:37Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 4.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-03-09T11:39Z
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:
Initial shock speed: 479 km/s Source location: N17W28 Solar wind speed: 450 km/s Duration time: 0.5 hrs (default)Lead Time: 63.60 hour(s)
Difference: 30.97 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2022-03-08T03:01Z
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